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Reserve Bank makes line-ball interest rate decision - May 2015

6 minute read
The Adviser

The Reserve Bank of Australia has announced the result of its monthly meeting following a period of intense market speculation.

In what was probably a close decision, board members decided to reduce the official cash rate from 2.25 per cent to a new record-low setting of 2 per cent.

According to a finder.com.au survey of 34 economists and commentators, 18 had expected rates to remain on hold, while 16 had expected rates to fall.

Many thought the Reserve Bank would refrain from cutting rates now so it could have more time to assess the impact of the February rate cut.

 
 

However, it appears the Reserve Bank decided the sluggish economy needed an immediate stimulus.

Board members probably also wanted to apply downward pressure to the Australian dollar.

This may not be the last rate reduction of the year: six of the 34 survey respondents forecast that the Reserve Bank would make one more cut in 2015.

BT Financial Group chief economist Chris Caton correctly predicted today’s result based on Australia’s fragile economic position.

“There was clearly another cut planned when they cut in February and not enough has happened to change that plan,” he told finder.com.au

ME Bank’s general manager of markets, John Caelli, also predicted today’s result because of “low inflation, reasonably high unemployment and below-trend economic growth”.

Onthehouse finance editor Peter Boehm was another to forecast today’s rate cut, despite the risk it would further inflate high property prices in Sydney and Melbourne.

“Consumer and business confidence [are] still low,” Mr Boehm said. “Putting more cash in the hands of households through lower mortgage payments can help increase consumer spending and thereby increase business confidence.”

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Comments (5)

  • <p>Re: Seeking Answers&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The answer is that can't be justified , just like CBA and NAB gouging 5 greedy basis points from yesterdays RBA rate cut.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Our banks are morally bankrupt, and the public seem to accept being treated like sh&amp;#</p>
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  • <p>StevO the problem is not interest rates but living expenses.Lenders use very low figures for living expenses thus pumping up the maximum borrowing capacity of customers. &lt;br /&gt;The lenders will say they use an assessment rate in excess of say 7.0% at present when considering an application but then have this ridiculously low living expenses figure. &lt;br /&gt;My suggestion is to give the clients a budget calculator &amp; to let them work out how much they can afford to pay as loan repayments after all expenses have been taken into account. That figure will determine your borrowing capacity. &lt;br /&gt;Jon Denovan of Gadens recently highlighted this saying that if a broker is challenged on "Whether the loan was not unsuitable" can protect themselves by providing an accurate statement on living expenses &amp; working with this in recommending a loan. &lt;br /&gt;ASIC have already indicated brokers are easier targets than the lenders.This small step can reduce the size of the target on your back.</p>
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  • <p>All these people borrowing huge amounts at record low rates for the next 30 years. Wonder how they will cope when interest rates eventually start to rise. I can almost hear the screams now. You can bet the banks won't be your buddy when you can't afford to pay them. Guess that's when you have a class action and try to sue the banks for irresponsible lending????</p>
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  • Seeking answers Tuesday, 05 May 2015
    <p>The rate reduction is great for lower mortgage payments, but when is pressure going to be put on credit card companies to start reducing their interest rates??? 2% cash rate compared to 20% credit card rates. How can this be justified?</p>
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  • <p>this is going to end badly</p>
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